Ryan Greenblatt from Redwood Research recently published "Getting 50% on ARC-AGI with GPT-4.0," where he used GPT4o to reach a state-of-the-art accuracy on Francois Chollet's ARC Challenge by generating many Python programs.

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We discuss:

- Ryan's unique approach to solving the ARC Challenge and achieving impressive results.

- The strengths and weaknesses of current AI models.

- How AI and humans differ in learning and reasoning.

- Combining various techniques to create smarter AI systems.

- The potential risks and future advancements in AI, including the idea of agentic AI.

https://x.com/RyanPGreenblatt

https://www.redwoodresearch.org/

Refs:

Getting 50% (SoTA) on ARC-AGI with GPT-4o [Ryan Greenblatt]

https://redwoodresearch.substack.com/p/getting-50-sota-on-arc-agi-with-gpt

On the Measure of Intelligence [Chollet]

https://arxiv.org/abs/1911.01547

Connectionism and Cognitive Architecture: A Critical Analysis [Jerry A. Fodor and Zenon W. Pylyshyn]

https://ruccs.rutgers.edu/images/personal-zenon-pylyshyn/proseminars/Proseminar13/ConnectionistArchitecture.pdf

Software 2.0 [Andrej Karpathy]

https://karpathy.medium.com/software-2-0-a64152b37c35

Why Greatness Cannot Be Planned: The Myth of the Objective [Kenneth Stanley]

https://amzn.to/3Wfy2E0

Biographical account of Terence Tao’s mathematical development. [M.A.(KEN) CLEMENTS]

https://gwern.net/doc/iq/high/smpy/1984-clements.pdf

Model Evaluation and Threat Research (METR)

https://metr.org/

Why Tool AIs Want to Be Agent AIs

https://gwern.net/tool-ai

Simulators - Janus

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vJFdjigzmcXMhNTsx/simulators

AI Control: Improving Safety Despite Intentional Subversion

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/d9FJHawgkiMSPjagR/ai-control-improving-safety-despite-intentional-subversion

https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.06942

What a Compute-Centric Framework Says About Takeoff Speeds

https://www.openphilanthropy.org/research/what-a-compute-centric-framework-says-about-takeoff-speeds/

Global GDP over the long run

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/global-gdp-over-the-long-run?yScale=log

Safety Cases: How to Justify the Safety of Advanced AI Systems

https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.10462

The Danger of a “Safety Case"

http://sunnyday.mit.edu/The-Danger-of-a-Safety-Case.pdf

The Future Of Work Looks Like A UPS Truck (~02:15:50)

https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2014/05/02/308640135/episode-536-the-future-of-work-looks-like-a-ups-truck

SWE-bench

https://www.swebench.com/

Using DeepSpeed and Megatron to Train Megatron-Turing NLG

530B, A Large-Scale Generative Language Model

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2201.11990

Algorithmic Progress in Language Models

https://epochai.org/blog/algorithmic-progress-in-language-models

The state of the Space Force