Ep. 1298: You Don't Know with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Jul 29, 2024
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Dive into the world of trend following, where the mantra is to cut your losses. Explore the tension between political information and market prices, emphasizing trust in data over politics. Discover the inspiring journey of turtle traders, proving that extraordinary success often stems from humble beginnings. The host shares personal anecdotes to highlight the importance of transparency and reliable information in trading decisions, offering valuable insights for aspiring traders.
Trend following trading advocates for decision-making based solely on market prices, minimizing the influence of unreliable company fundamentals and predictions.
The difficulties faced in accessing government information expose a pervasive distrust in political systems, highlighting the importance of relying on tangible evidence for decision-making.
Deep dives
The Value of Trend Following Trading
Trend following trading emphasizes making decisions solely based on market prices, rather than relying on traditional methods like analyzing balance sheets or predicting chart patterns. This approach asserts that by surrendering to price movements, traders can navigate the complexities of the market without the distractions posed by underlying company fundamentals. The philosophy behind trend following is that uncertainty pervades financial information, making price the most reliable indicator for trading decisions. Consequently, trusting only price protects traders from the misinformation prevalent in broader market communications.
Using the Freedom of Information Act
The Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) serves as an essential tool for accessing government documents, allowing individuals to uncover important information about local, state, and federal governments. Experiences shared illustrate the challenges of retrieving accurate data, often revealing how governments resist transparency and hide critical details from constituents. A notable incident involved a request for government documents that exposed corruption yet was deemed inaccessible by government officials, highlighting the difficulties in obtaining honest insights. Such experiences underscore the precarious nature of trusting governmental sources, raising doubts about the veracity of information in public life.
The Challenges of Trusting Information
The podcast discusses the inherent distrust in systems that govern financial and political sectors, suggesting that reliable decision-making becomes significantly challenging in this environment. By drawing on personal experiences with media manipulation and political dishonesty, it expresses skepticism about the information provided by various sources. Instances where officials contradict themselves or conceal critical facts suggest that reliable information is rare, reinforcing the idea that only tangible evidence, like market prices, should guide decision-making. In a world filled with misinformation, prioritizing price becomes a rational survival strategy for traders navigating unpredictable markets.
Please enjoy my monologue You Don't Know with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.
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I’m MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I’m proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.
To start? I’d like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/