Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia Edition

Trump-Xi Set to Meet Next Week at APEC, China Fourth Plenum Wraps

10 snips
Oct 24, 2025
Pei-Juan Liu, an economist at Fidelity International Asia, delves into China's fourth plenum, highlighting its focus on technological self-reliance and boosting domestic consumption. She discusses the implications of the dual circulation policy and potential fiscal strategies for enhancing growth. Mark Cranfield, a strategist at Bloomberg, provides insight into Asian equity market trends, the impact of the upcoming Trump-Xi meeting on currency dynamics, and the broader investor sentiment amidst US-China tensions.
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INSIGHT

Meeting Aims For Tactical, Not Transformational Win

  • The Trump–Xi meeting is expected to aim for limited, tactical wins rather than a sweeping deal.
  • Peiqian Liu sees a base case of no further escalation and an optimistic case of rollback easing export pressures.
INSIGHT

Plenum Prioritises Tech Self‑Reliance Over Consumption

  • China’s fourth plenum emphasised tech self-reliance and keeping manufacturing's share stable.
  • The communique ranks expanding the domestic market third, signalling gradual rebalancing toward 'dual circulation'.
ADVICE

Use Fiscal Transfers To Lift Consumption

  • Expect more fiscal support to lift household consumption rather than aggressive monetary moves.
  • Peiqian Liu advises central transfers and gradual monetary easing to rebalance growth toward domestic demand.
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