268. The Tories' 'taxtopia' attack, Macron's gamble, and the politics of football
Jun 17, 2024
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Former British Conservative politician Rory Stewart and British journalist Alastair Campbell discuss voter apathy, 'taxtopia', Liz Truss in the French election, and the politics of football. They analyze the troubling position of the Conservatives in polls, the French political landscape, encounters at football stadiums, European green commitments, Labour manifesto's focus on devolution, and navigating political relationships.
Conservative Party facing historic losses in upcoming election due to strategic missteps and voter backlash.
Concerns about voter turnout and apathy posing challenges for Labour's lead in the polls, leading to potential complacency and protest votes.
Polling data shaping voter views, with party popularity influencing behavior more than manifesto pledges, highlighting the impact of political narratives.
Deep dives
Concerns Over Conservative Party's Dismal Polling Numbers
The polls indicate that the Conservative Party is in significant trouble, potentially facing historic losses in the upcoming election, with projections suggesting a drastic reduction in seats and vote share compared to past results.
Labour's Unique Election Challenge
Despite Labour's lead in the polls, there are concerns about voter turnout and apathy, with indications that some voters may not be accurately reflecting their voting intentions. The narrative surrounding the election is creating a perception of Labour's expected victory, leading to potential protest votes and complacency.
Influence of Polls on Elections
Polling data is playing a substantial role in shaping voter views and influencing the election campaign, with the perception of a party's popularity impacting voter behavior more than manifesto pledges. The rise of Nigel Farage and his party's performance illustrate the significance of polls in driving political narratives.
Conservative Party's Strategic Errors
The Conservative Party's strategic decision to shift towards far-right policies and rhetoric has backfired, alienating moderate voters and creating internal party conflicts. The abandonment of the political center has led to potential electoral losses, placing them in a challenging position against resurgent opposition.
Implications of European Elections
The European elections have revealed a growing trend of anti-establishment and far-right sentiment across various European nations, challenging traditional political parties and alliances. The election outcomes signal a shift in political landscapes, with implications for policy decisions and coalition formations.
How worried should Labour be about voter apathy? What is 'taxtopia'? Why is Liz Truss being brought up in the French election?
Join Rory Stewart and Alastair Campbell for the latest episode of The Rest Is Politics, where they answer all these questions and more.
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