Playing For Keeps Playing For Keeps Episode 2 With Adam "ShipMyMoney" Scherer
Feb 28, 2024
In this discussion, Adam "ShipMyMoney" Scherer, a sharp NBA DFS analyst and former law student, dives into his transition from law to professional DFS. He shares insights on the evolution of lineup strategies and argues for late swap advantages. With his rich background in economics, Adam discusses the potential of sims versus optimizers and how to creatively leverage them for better results. He also touches on bankroll management challenges, favorite sports for DFS, and the future of the industry, including a shift towards peer-to-peer betting formats.
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Episode notes
Late Swap Tradeoffs
- Late swap increases peak upside but reduces accessible edge for many players.
- Removing late swap would grow casual participation but also shrink skilled-player advantages.
Turn Sims Into Custom Edge
- Use sims as a foundation, then export and manipulate results to create differentiating exposures.
- Treat sims like an input: refine lineups with Excel and game-theory tweaks rather than playing outputs verbatim.
Use Sims To Choose Stack Types
- Use sims to test stack types (1-1, 2-1, 2-2) across the field and pick the stack style with best aggregate ROI.
- Then drill into which specific stacks perform best within that preferred configuration.