

Examining the FX Space, Fed Policy Outlook
Jan 7, 2025
In this discussion, Peter McGuire, CEO of XM Australia, shares his expertise on currency dynamics, shedding light on the strength of the US dollar and the potential interventions from Japan regarding the yen. Joining him, Matt Orton, Chief Market Strategist at Raymond James, analyzes the tech market's rally, spurred by AI advancements, while addressing the contrasting yields of US treasuries and Chinese bonds. The conversation also offers insights into investment opportunities in small-cap firms amidst an evolving economic landscape.
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Episode notes
Dollar Strength and Yen Intervention
- Consider the continued strength of the US dollar due to fewer expected rate cuts by the Fed.
- Intervention from Japan is anticipated as the yen weakens against the dollar.
Tariff Uncertainty and Volatility
- The market's uncertainty about Trump's tariff plans creates volatility.
- Trump's negotiating style involves starting with a strong stance and then renegotiating.
Increased Volatility Expected
- Uncertainty surrounding President Trump's policies, particularly tariffs, is expected to increase market volatility.
- Trump's unpredictable actions and statements can quickly shift market sentiment.