Morning Wire A Pollster’s Look at the 2025 Post-Election Map and What Comes Next
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Nov 15, 2025 Brent Buchanan, Founder and CEO of Signal Polling, shares his insights on voter sentiment following the 2025 elections. He discusses how Democrats energize their base while Republicans suffer from low turnout due to anger over the federal shutdown. Buchanan highlights the impact of media narratives on voter perception, especially among women and younger demographics. He emphasizes the importance of economic messaging to appeal to swing voters and cautions Republicans on implementing bold ideas effectively. Brent also delves into the challenges of mobilizing Trump's base without him on the ballot.
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Anger Fueled Democratic Turnout
- Democrats were energized while Republicans were complacent, and anger drove turnout toward Democrats in 2025.
- The shutdown and anti-Trump sentiment were decisive motivators for Democratic voters.
Shutdown Coverage Shifted Blame
- Mainstream media narratives about the shutdown shifted voter blame to Republicans in key segments.
- That messaging angered young, diverse, working-class voters who then voted against Trump-era Republicans.
Virginia Raw Vote Comparison
- In Virginia, the Democrat got 82% of Kamala Harris's raw 2024 vote while the Republican got 69% of Trump's raw vote.
- That gap illustrated Democrats' energy and Republicans' low turnout.
