FEAR & GREED | Business News Q+A: Will the RBA cut rates?
Aug 10, 2025
Stephen Koukoulas, an economist known for his insightful analyses, joins the discussion to dissect the Reserve Bank's anticipated interest rate cut. He delves into recent inflation trends and how they impact the Reserve Bank's strategy. The conversation emphasizes the importance of upcoming labor data and how it could influence the bank's decisions. Koukoulas argues that understanding these economic signals is crucial for navigating a complex financial landscape.
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RBA Should Move This Week
- Stephen Koukoulas argues the Reserve Bank should cut rates at this meeting.
- He says markets have fully priced a cut and the RBA needs to act on decelerating inflation.
Unemployment Has Recently Risen
- Stephen Koukoulas highlights unemployment rose from 4.1% to 4.3% in the latest release.
- He frames this as a clear labour-market weakening that supports a rate cut.
Inflation Is Falling Fast
- Stephen Koukoulas notes trimmed-mean inflation has moved down across successive quarters.
- He expects continued deceleration toward the 2–3% band, supporting preemptive cuts.