If US Gaza Policy So Far Has Been Feckless, How Can It Become Feckful or Fully Fecked?
Sep 4, 2024
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Alon Pinkas, a former Israeli consul general, Kori Schake, an international relations expert, and Rosa Brooks, a law professor, dive into the complexities of U.S. policy in the Israel-Gaza conflict. They discuss the Biden administration's perceived passivity and the need for a stronger stance as tensions rise. The trio analyzes Netanyahu's political maneuvers, American military support, and the implications for upcoming elections. They also explore the role of the International Criminal Court in addressing international crimes, adding a global perspective to the debate.
The Biden administration's reluctance to confront Netanyahu reflects a fear of alienating Jewish voters, resulting in a stagnant Israel policy.
Despite increased military presence in the region, experts doubt Netanyahu's ability to influence American public opinion regarding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Deep dives
Netanyahu's Influence on US Elections
Prime Minister Netanyahu is attempting to manipulate US politics to favor Donald Trump in the upcoming election, potentially framing the ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict as an electoral issue. He aims to position Vice President Kamala Harris and President Biden unfavorably in the eyes of Jewish voters by prolonging the conflict, but many experts believe this strategy will ultimately fail. The political calculus behind this approach reflects a significant misunderstanding of American voter priorities, as only a limited number of individuals are likely to perceive this conflict as pivotal in their electoral decisions. Consequently, Netanyahu's interference risks alienating the very audience he seeks to influence without yielding the desired political outcomes.
The US Military's Role in the Region
The United States has significantly increased its military presence in the region due to escalating tensions and threats against Israel, diverting resources like an aircraft carrier from other operations. This military buildup raises questions about sustainability, as maintaining readiness incurs high financial costs and redirects focus from other strategic interests. Experts express skepticism regarding Netanyahu's ability to sway American public opinion, suggesting that the inherent complexities of US foreign policy decisions may overshadow any direct influence he attempts to exert. Ultimately, decisions on military support and intervention remain deeply entangled with US interests in maintaining regional stability.
Biden's Foreign Policy Challenges
Current political dynamics suggest that significant changes in US foreign policy regarding Israel may not transpire before the upcoming elections, as the Biden administration appears reluctant to confront Netanyahu. This hesitance stems from a fear of alienating key voter demographics, particularly Jewish constituents, making it unlikely that the administration will take decisive action against Israeli military tactics. Critics highlight a contrasting approach to Ukraine, where the US exhibited more tactical resolve, indicating a potential inconsistency in Biden's international strategy. As the anniversary of the October 7th attacks approaches, the perceived inaction of the US government could result in further complications in its foreign relations, particularly with Israel.
To put it plainly, the Biden administration’s Israel policy hasn’t been bold. As we near the anniversary of the October 7th attacks, Israel continues to pound Gaza with little pushback from the administration. Alon Pinkas, Kori Schake, and Rosa Brooks join David Rothkopf for a discussion on how the administration can take a stronger stance with Israel — and why it’s necessary.