Effectively Wild Episode 2077: Now I’ve Seen Everything
Oct 27, 2023
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Discussing the surprising NLCS, the Diamondbacks-Rangers World Series matchup, and the Brewers playoff losses. Previewing the World Series and speculating about the lack of extra-inning games. Examining the performance of Corbin Carroll in the playoffs and the rise of former players in leadership positions. Analyzing bullpen performance and the impact of starting pitchers and relievers in postseason games. Discussing pitch types and the vulnerability of relievers. Expressing gratitude to podcast supporters and ways to engage with the podcast.
Familiarity effect in postseason may influence managers to stick with their starters longer.
Former players like Craig Breslow are taking on top leadership positions in baseball operations departments.
Repetitive appearances by relief pitchers in a series lead to a decline in performance.
Managers need to balance exploiting the times through the order penalty with conserving relievers' effectiveness.
Deep dives
The Reliever Familiarity Effect: A Study on Performance Degradation
David J. Gordon's study in the Baseball Research Journal explores the potential impact of a reliever familiarity effect in postseason series.
The Rise of Former Players in Leadership Roles
Former players, including Craig Breslow, are making a comeback in top leadership positions in baseball operations departments.
The Incentive to Stick with Starters and Avoi Push-Button Decisions
The familiarity effect could provide managers with an incentive to stick with their starters longer and avoid automatic pull decisions.
Adding an Element of Strategy and Long-Term Thinking
The familiarity effect would introduce additional strategy for managers, urging them to balance short-term game decisions with long-term bullpen management and reliever usage.
The Effect of the Times Through the Order Penalty in Postseason Pitching
The study analyzes the impact of repeated appearances by pitchers in post-season games and the effect on their performance. The research finds that as relief pitchers make multiple appearances in a series, their performance declines, as indicated by an increase in weighted on-base percentage (wOBA). The effect is most pronounced in the third and fifth appearances, with significant increases in wOBA. The study also highlights the potential trade-off between using relief pitchers early in a series to exploit the times through the order penalty and conserving their usage for later games. The findings suggest that familiarity with pitchers and potential fatigue can influence the outcome of post-season games.
Balancing Workloads in Postseason Pitching
The research examines the workload distribution between starting pitchers and relief pitchers in a seven-game postseason series. The analysis indicates that relievers who pitch on consecutive days or with minimal rest, and face a significant number of batters in their previous appearance, experience a decrease in performance, reflected in higher wOBA. The findings emphasize the importance of balancing the workload of relief pitchers to avoid overexposure and fatigue. The study suggests that conserving relievers' usage early in a series and allowing starters to pitch deeper into games may be a viable strategy to ensure optimal pitching performance throughout the postseason.
Exploring the Impact of Familiarity and Fatigue in Postseason Pitching
The study investigates the impact of repeated appearances, familiarity, and potential fatigue on the performance of relief pitchers in a seven-game post-season series. The research reveals that as relief pitchers make consecutive appearances and face a higher number of batters in their previous outing, their performance deteriorates, resulting in higher wOBA. This suggests that both familiarity with opposing hitters and pitcher fatigue contribute to the decline in performance. The study highlights the need for managers to strike a balance between exploiting the times through the order penalty and conserving relief pitchers' effectiveness throughout the series.
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the end of the NLCS, discuss the discourse surrounding the improbability of and fallout from the Diamondbacks-Rangers World Series matchup, banter about the Brewers always losing in the playoffs to eventual pennant winners, preview the World Series, postulate a conspiracy surrounding this postseason’s lack of extra-inning games, and […]
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