In this discussion, Anne Rowe, The Economist's obituaries editor, explores Turkey's strategic interests in a post-Assad Syria, highlighting its efforts to gain stability in the region through the return of exiles and managing militias. The conversation also touches on the convergence of politics and cryptocurrencies, particularly how Donald Trump's influence may reshape the U.S. economy. Additionally, Rowe reflects on the poignant life of Mauro Morandi, who lived in solitude on an Italian island, capturing his extraordinary journey and connections.
Turkey aims to leverage its military presence and influence to shape a stable post-Assad Syria while countering Kurdish autonomy.
The geopolitical landscape in post-war Syria is increasingly competitive, with Turkey, Arab states, and Israel vying for influence and control.
Deep dives
Turkey's Strategic Interests in Syria
Turkey's interests in Syria are driven by concerns of national security and stability along its long border. The Syrian civil war resulted in over three million refugees in Turkey and increased threats from terrorist groups, prompting Turkey to pursue a stable neighbor to manage these challenges. To achieve this, Turkey aims to suppress Kurdish autonomy and support the formation of a new Syrian army, thereby reasserting its historical influence in the region. Additionally, Turkey has reinforced its military presence and engaged in rebuilding efforts, indicating its desire for a significant role in the post-Assad landscape of Syria.
Regional Tensions and Influence Competition
The power vacuum following the Assad regime's collapse has triggered a competitive dynamic among regional players, particularly Turkey, Arab states, and Israel. Turkey seeks to consolidate its influence by promoting political and economic ties while also facing suspicions from Arab countries wary of its ambitions. In contrast, Israel fears Turkey's relationships with factions like HTS, which complicates the geopolitical landscape. The evolving situation could lead to heightened tensions, especially as various actors vie for control and influence in the new Syria.
The Role of External Powers in Syria's Future
Several external nations are navigating their interests in post-war Syria, with Turkey taking a prominent role in shaping the future of the region. While Turkish President Erdogan focuses on economic and military backing, other countries, like Saudi Arabia, are also attempting to assert their influence. Saudi humanitarian aid and plans to replace Iranian oil supply signify the shifting allegiances in the Middle East. The complexity of these international relationships underscores the challenges of establishing a stable governance framework in a Syria reborn from conflict.
The fall of Bashar al-Assad in Syria will reshape the wider region. Our correspondent says few countries have as much to gain from a stable Syria as Turkey. How will it use its leverage (09:25)? Donald Trump’s enthusiasm for cryptocurrencies will change America’s economy. And remembering Italian hermit Mauro Morandi (17:30).