Australian Investors Podcast

Seneca's ASX takeovers playbook + your companies analysed

11 snips
Sep 8, 2025
In this engaging discussion, Luke Larratt and Ben Richards from Seneca dive into the potential takeover of RPM Global, highlighting why strategic buyers like Caterpillar might offer higher bids than private equity. They analyze how to spot real investment edges, including management alignment and index inclusion. The hosts also dissect the hype around defense stocks like DroneShield and Elsight versus their actual fundamentals. Listener inquiries on companies like Smart Parking and Objective Corp provide additional insights into smart investment strategies.
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INSIGHT

Strategic Buyers Pay For Fit

  • Strategic buyers can pay much higher prices than private equity for software businesses due to strategic fit and scale benefits.
  • RPM Global attracted interest from Caterpillar and others because its software plugs into large OEMs and yields strategic value.
ANECDOTE

Seneca's RPM Global Win

  • Seneca bought RPM Global in October 2023 at about $1.45–$1.50 and saw it triple within months.
  • Their thesis anticipated a spin-off, index inclusion and strategic buyer interest that drove the outcome.
ADVICE

Skip Low-Return Merger Arbitrage

  • Avoid chasing merger arbitrage for small single-digit gains unless you run a dedicated arbitrage strategy.
  • Prioritise higher-return, research-driven investments over low-margin takeover punts.
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