China plans to expand the iPhone ban to government-backed agencies and state companies. GitLab CFO discusses earnings and AI partnership with Google Cloud. Deputy Director of the Center for Gun Violence Solutions discusses gun violence awareness and prevention.
Read more
AI Summary
AI Chapters
Episode notes
auto_awesome
Podcast summary created with Snipd AI
Quick takeaways
China plans to expand iPhone ban to government-backed agencies and state companies
BNY Mellon adopts a cautious approach, focusing on high-quality fixed income and resilient equity investments
Deep dives
Market Action Reflects Cautious Sentiment
The market showed cautious sentiment today, with investors remaining vigilant amid concerns about the economic outlook. The summer saw a strong market performance, but sentiment has since normalized, and there is a pullback in August. The market is awaiting incoming data to confirm the soft landing narrative. The recent price action suggests that investors want to question the disinflation narrative, especially in light of the higher yields.
BNY Mellon Positioned with Cautious Approach
BNY Mellon has taken a cautious approach in its positioning, given the potential risks ahead. The firm sees better opportunities in high-quality fixed income, as the end of the hiking cycle nears. On the equity side, resilience is emphasized rather than aggressive risk-taking. BNY Mellon believes that earnings growth projections are optimistic, and companies may continue to face margin pressure, particularly with labor costs. Overall, the portfolio focuses on building resilience and carefully considering risk in the current market environment.
Factors Influencing the Market
Factors such as the potential for a recession and the impact on earnings are raising questions in the market. While the risk of a recession remains, the market has recovered without experiencing one. However, caution is advised due to the risk of a recession next year. The status of the labor market is considered crucial in determining the trajectory of consumer sentiment and spending. The consumer has remained more resilient than expected, supported by factors like excess savings, the moratorium on student loans, and job stability. However, the labor market should be closely watched for any signs of weakness.
Longer Duration Stocks Hold Up Amid Rising Yields
Longer duration stocks have held up despite rising yields, unlike a year ago. This can be attributed to factors such as earnings growth expectations and the resilience of high-growth sectors like tech. However, caution remains as risks associated with the ongoing tightening cycle and potential margin pressures persist. While tech multiples are back to pre-pandemic levels, other sectors have become relatively cheaper. The decoupling between yields and long-duration stocks underlines the existence of risk in the current market environment.
Bloomberg News Chief Technology Correspondent Mark Gurman reports on China's plans to expand a ban on the use of iPhones in sensitive departments to government-backed agencies and state companies. GitLab CFO Brian Robins discusses the software company's earnings and AI partnership with Google Cloud. Cassandra Crifasi, Deputy Director of the Center for Gun Violence Solutions at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, shares her thoughts on gun violence awareness and prevention. And we Drive to the Close with Jake Jolly, Head of Investment Analysis at BNY Mellon Investment Management. Hosts: Paul Sweeney and Jess Menton. Producer: Paul Brennan.