Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast Jiang Xueqin: The West's Civilizational Collapse
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Nov 24, 2025 
Jiang Xueqin, a historian and commentator known for his Predictive History channel, dives into the complexities of predicting geopolitical shifts. He discusses three main drivers of civilizational success: energy, openness, and cohesion, and outlines how these factors indicate a decline in the Anglo-American West. Jiang also explores the impact of polarization and elite overproduction on social dynamics. He critiques Western elites for their closed-mindedness and analyzes US-China relations, suggesting mutual benefits may arise from their interdependence.
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Three Drivers Of Civilizational Rise
- Civilizations rise from three forces: energy, openness, and cohesion.
- Jiang Xueqin argues these explain historical empires and modern powers like Israel.
The West's Rapid Decline
- Jiang Xueqin sees the Anglo-American West in rapid decline across energy, openness, and cohesion.
- He predicts worsening social polarization, cultural stagnation, and labor unwillingness over 5–10 years.
Three Theories Of Societal Collapse
- Three theoretical lenses explain collapse: Turchin's elite overproduction, Piketty's financialization, and Spengler's organic cycles.
- Combined, they paint structural risks that are hard to fix without major upheaval.
