

Frontline special - defence analyst and former parliamentary clerk Eliot Wilson
Jul 27, 2025
Eliot Wilson, a defence analyst and former parliamentary clerk, shares his insights on the dire state of the Russian economy due to the ongoing invasion of Ukraine. He discusses the stagnation of peace talks, emphasizing Russia’s reluctance to negotiate seriously. Eliot also highlights the complexities of Ukraine's political landscape, marked by recent protests and anti-corruption challenges. Additionally, he delves into the geopolitical dynamics involving China and the impact of military strategies on global alliances amid the conflict.
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Russia's Stance on Peace Talks
- Russia has little interest in diplomatic solutions as it aims to absorb Ukraine or control its foreign policy.
- Ukraine resists conceding territory after invasion but engages in talks to appear reasonable internationally.
Putin's Political Constraints
- Putin depends on his inner circle's support and cannot afford to appear weak by negotiating prematurely.
- High Russian casualties and war costs intensify his need to justify the invasion domestically.
Zelensky and Ukraine's Political Reality
- Zelensky faces scrutiny as Ukraine's political system is still young and imperfect post-Soviet Union.
- Western support depends on balancing Ukraine's imperfections with the existential threat it faces.