Azeem Azhar's Exponential View 2025 AI reality check: Are we in a bubble?
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Jul 9, 2025 The conversation dives into bold predictions about AI and technology as 2025 approaches. It highlights breakthroughs in AI models and the fierce competition between autonomous vehicle giants like Waymo and Tesla. The explosive growth in solar energy and electric vehicles, especially in Indonesia, underscores changing market dynamics. Concerns about job displacement due to AI are discussed, alongside the challenges faced by traditional industries. Finally, the podcast hints at the upcoming economic turbulence as new startups disrupt established players.
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AI Progress and Model Instability
- AI model progress did not slow down; 10 million token context models emerged with improved reasoning benchmarks.
- However, models like Gemini Flash show instability as higher-capacity models tend to overthink problems causing system breaks.
Warp Speed AI Deployment
- AI usage has exploded with token prices collapsing and billion-user products like ChatGPT.
- Gen AI startups now reach over $100 million revenue outside foundation models representing warp speed deployment.
LLMs Outpace Human Text
- Large language models have surpassed humans in volume of natural language text generated.
- This crossover happened mid-2025, marking a significant point in AI-generated communication.