The NPR Politics Podcast What To Watch For On Election Night
Nov 7, 2022
Over 40 million Americans have already voted, but election results may be slow to come in. The changing dynamics of early voting are explored, shedding light on how this impacts election outcomes. Legal disputes over mail-in ballots, particularly in Pennsylvania, highlight contrasting political views. Significant swing states and competitive House races are key indicators to watch on election night. Finally, critical Senate races in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania set the stage for potential surprises, emphasizing patience as results unfold.
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Early Voting Trends
- Early voting patterns show Democrats favor mail-in ballots, while Republicans prefer in-person voting.
- This trend, influenced by Trump's rhetoric, continues from 2020.
Understanding Vote Counting Shifts
- "Blue shift" describes early Democratic leads from mail-in votes, while "red mirage" refers to later Republican leads from in-person voting.
- These shifts are normal due to varying ballot counting procedures, not nefarious activities.
Pennsylvania Ballot Lawsuit
- Lawsuits over undated mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania highlight ongoing election litigation.
- Republicans argue against counting them, while Democrats argue for it.