Risky Bulletin Between Two Nerds: The internal logic of Russian power grid attacks
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Feb 2, 2026 A deep dive into a recent Russian strike on Polish electricity infrastructure. They unpack why Poland near Ukraine was targeted and how attribution differs across reports. Conversation covers how distributed renewables and default configurations affected the attack. They explore shifting tactics from central systems to edge devices and the information impact versus technical damage.
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Poland As A Strategic Staging Target
- Poland's proximity to Ukraine makes it a logical target for sabotage tied to the war's logistics and staging.
- Attacks on nearby NATO states can serve strategic aims without being random aggression.
Attribution Varies By Evidence Type
- Different analysts attributed the attack to different Russian groups based on what they observed.
- Malware artifacts pointed to Sandworm while infrastructure links suggested Berserk Bear/ SVR.
Renewables Increase Grid Resilience
- Poland's distributed renewable generation increased diversity across many sites and vendors.
- That diversity made a single generic wiper far harder to deploy successfully.