Intelligence Squared Putin's Shrinking Circle: Russia after Prigozhin
Oct 1, 2023
Mark Galeotti, a leading expert on modern Russia and author of influential works like Putin’s Wars, dives into the fallout from Yevgeny Prigozhin's death. He explores how Putin’s circle is shrinking, revealing cracks in loyalties among security forces and Wagner fighters. The discussion highlights public sentiment's growing disconnect from government narratives and the implications for upcoming elections. Galeotti also addresses the geopolitical tensions stemming from Ukraine's actions and their potential repercussions for Russia's military strategy.
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Putin's Weakening Grip
- Putin's failure to manage rivalries within his regime led to Prigozhin's mutiny.
- This exposed vulnerabilities in Putin's leadership and control over the security forces.
Wagner and Ultranationalist Discontent
- While individual Wagner fighters might harbor resentment, a large-scale organized revolt is unlikely.
- Discontent among ultranationalists is growing due to the war's mismanagement.
Public Discontent in Russia
- Prigozhin's mutiny exposed simmering public discontent in Russia, not necessarily support for Prigozhin himself.
- Many Russians appreciated Prigozhin's willingness to challenge the official narrative and expose the war's mismanagement.
