FiveThirtyEight Politics What We're Putting In Our 2024 Time Capsule
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Dec 19, 2024 What would symbolize 2024 in politics? A quirky debate unfolds as hosts curate a time capsule filled with a Dean Phillips bumper sticker and Trump’s 16-page indictment. The impending government shutdown prompts a lively discussion on political dynamics and spending negotiations. Personal anecdotes about grocery inflation add a relatable touch. Throughout, humor intermingles with reflections on the evolving political landscape and key moments shaping the year.
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Holiday Traditions at FiveThirtyEight
- FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast hosts discuss their holiday traditions, including Nathaniel's graph-decorated tree and Jeffrey's electorally-shaped cookies.
- Galen jokes about calculating a rolling average of naughty and nice kids, finding a net negative result influenced by "Brat Summer".
Government Shutdown Imminent?
- A potential government shutdown looms due to stalled spending agreements, influenced by external pressures on Republican leadership.
- Betting markets indicate a significant probability of a shutdown, reflecting uncertainty around political maneuvering and holiday deadlines.
Shutdown Drivers and Incentives
- A government shutdown's likelihood depends on Trump, Musk, and potentially Vivek Ramaswamy's steadfastness.
- Competing incentives exist, with Democrats potentially benefiting from letting Republicans own the shutdown while Republicans face internal divisions and leadership challenges.