Superstructure 30 - Is Inflation Real? (ft. Mitch Green @drmitchpdx)
Jan 31, 2022
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Mitch Green, a heterodox economist, joins the hosts to discuss the problems with inflation as a catch-all term for price changes. They explore the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and different measures of inflation. They also delve into the narratives and perspectives surrounding inflation, including the left's perspective and the politicization of the issue. Additionally, they discuss the pricing strategies of fast food pizza chains and share anecdotes about Fred Lee. The podcast ends with random conversations and disconnected phrases.
Inflation is not an objective value of currency but is influenced by factors like supply chain issues and global fuel crises.
Addressing shortages and capacity building should be prioritized over punishing high inflation rates.
Raising prices does not solve structural problems causing shortages; targeted investments to expand capacity are needed.
Deep dives
Inflation and CPI Measurement
The podcast episode discusses inflation and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The 7% CPI measure is examined as an attempt to bring various price changes of goods and services into a single number. The episode highlights that these prices do not represent an objective value of currency and are affected by factors like supply chain issues, volatile prices of items such as used cars and fuel, and global fuel crises. The discussion questions the sustainability of high inflation rates driven by certain categories and emphasizes the need to address underlying issues like shortages and capacity building.
Rethinking Inflation as a Concept
The conversation argues against the usefulness of the concept of inflation and suggests focusing on addressing shortages and capacity. It challenges the idea that inflation is an independent variable necessitating punishment and argues for a more targeted spending approach. The need for more investment in infrastructure, public transit, and affordable housing is highlighted as a way to increase capacity and reduce shortages. By reframing the discussion and building the system we desire, the episode seeks to shift the focus from inflation to creating a sustainable and inclusive economy.
The Role of Price Setting by Firms
The podcast delves into how firms set prices as a mechanism to recover costs and generate income. It explores how firms maintain profit margins through markups and emphasizes the stability of price choices within industries. The episode highlights that price increases can occur when firms have confidence in consumers' acceptance and expectations. It also points out that raising prices does not solve structural problems causing shortages and reinforces the need for targeted investments to expand capacity.
The Limitations of Inflationary Narratives
The discussion analyzes the narratives surrounding inflation, ranging from reactionary perspectives to some on the left. It critiques the idea that inflation is solely caused by fiscal policies or the implementation of modern monetary theory (MTT). The episode highlights that inflation narratives often overlook important political considerations and distributional effects. It argues for a more politically informed approach to understanding and tackling inflation, addressing issues like workplace harassment and fair investment strategies.
Moving Towards a New Economic Paradigm
The podcast challenges the conventional understanding of inflation and advocates for a shift in economic focus. It suggests moving away from car metaphors and outdated economic concepts. The episode highlights the need to plan for a future economy that prioritizes capacity building, sustainability, and inclusivity. By emphasizing targeted investments, such as in public transit and affordable housing, and reshaping the system, the episode proposes a forward-looking approach to address shortages, inequality, and the pressing challenges of our time.
Cohosts Will Beaman, Natalie Smith and Maxximilian Seijo are joined by Mitch Green (@drmitchpdx) to discuss the problems with “inflation” as a catch-all term for price changes. A heterodox economist by training who studied with the late Fred Lee, Mitch takes a disaggregated view of prices that opens up price-setting as a publicly allocated administrative power with no necessary relationship to profits or sound finance.
Music: “Yum” from “This Would Be Funny If It Were Happening To Anyone But Me” EP by flirting. http://flirtingfullstop.bandcamp.com Twitter: @actualflirting
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