Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts How To Find An Edge, Scale It Successfully & Stay In Your Lane | Presented by Kalshi
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Nov 26, 2025 In this engaging conversation, Calvin, aka Calvin and Hobo, reveals his journey from a $10 bettor to a full-time NBA prop betting professional. He shares insights on identifying edges, particularly through injury and rest analysis. Calvin discusses the importance of line shopping and how uncertainty in injury reports creates unique opportunities. He talks about the balance between instinct and data, and the ethics of touting. Finally, he emphasizes the significance of maintaining happiness and quality of life in the betting world.
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From $10 Bets To A Bankroll
- Calvin started with $10 bets after turning sportsbook promos into a $2,000 bankroll by hedging free bet offers across books.
- He used that bankroll to learn line-shopping and survive early losses while building confidence and process.
Line Shop Aggressively As A Beginner
- Sign up at as many sportsbooks as possible and shop lines to reduce vig and losses early.
- Getting the best price converts reckless small-stakes betting into a sustainable practice for beginners.
Injury News As A Durable Edge
- Calvin's first real edge came from 'COVID tracing' — predicting which role players would play based on prior opponent absences.
- That approach evolved into a permanent edge: predicting injuries, rest, and availability before the market.
