
Simply Bitcoin Bitcoin’s Climb to $1,000,000 Is Inevitable!! | Checkmate Explains Bitcoin’s New Market Structure
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Sep 7, 2025 James Check, an analyst at Check On Chain known for his expertise in Bitcoin market structure, shares valuable insights on recent market dynamics. He discusses how Bitcoin’s stabilization feels normal and emphasizes the role of on-chain data in deciphering true valuation. Check tackles the implications of potential supply shocks, the rise of ETFs, and the psychological effects of price fluctuations on investors. He argues that the journey of investing in Bitcoin is as important as the end goal, advocating for long-term strategies over short-term speculation.
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Chopsolidation Is Healthy Market Structure
- Bitcoin now trades in 'chopsolidation': repeated up then sideways cycles that last much longer than past cycles.
- This slower stair-stepping is healthy because it consolidates gains and acclimates investor psychology to higher prices.
Lower Expectations For Parabolic Moves
- Stop expecting 100x parabolic moves every cycle and treat any parabolic upside as gravy.
- Accept slower, steadier appreciation that attracts conservative capital and reduces brutal 80% drawdowns.
Getting Dad Comfortable With Bitcoin
- James told the story of getting his dad into Bitcoin in 2020 and how his dad now considers reallocating retirement savings.
- That example shows mature, conservative money now tolerates Bitcoin's volatility under the new market structure.

