The Long Term Investor

Why Is the U.S. Dollar Declining—and What Does It Mean for Investors? (EP.213)

Jul 16, 2025
Explore the surprising decline of the U.S. dollar and its impact on international equities. Discover how currency fluctuations can significantly affect your investment returns, using a fun lemonade stand analogy. Dive into the economic forces driving the dollar's weakness, from inflation to labor supply issues. Learn why analysts missed the mark on predictions and identify new opportunities for diversifying your portfolio in this changing landscape.
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ANECDOTE

Currency Impact Example

  • Peter Lazaroff uses the example of investing in a French lemonade company to explain currency impact.
  • A declining US dollar can boost your returns significantly when converting back from foreign investments.
INSIGHT

Why the Dollar Declined in 2025

  • Currency values fluctuate due to supply and demand influenced by interest rates and inflation.
  • Markets misjudged the 2025 dollar drop because tariffs slowed growth instead of spiking inflation.
INSIGHT

Labor's Role in Economic Growth

  • U.S. economic growth depends on labor supply and productivity growth.
  • Reduced immigration and retiring baby boomers are shrinking the workforce, causing labor shortages and inflation pressure.
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