Stock Movers

Warner Bros. Discovery Deal; Confluent-IBM Deal; Carvana to Join S&PP 500

Dec 8, 2025
A potential showdown brews as Netflix’s monumental $72 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery faces antitrust scrutiny, with President Trump hinting at concerns. Meanwhile, IBM makes waves with its $11 billion purchase of Confluent, aiming to enhance its AI capabilities. Adding to the excitement, Carvana is set to join the S&P 500, buoying investor confidence. Dive into the details and implications of these major deals that could reshape the media and tech landscape!
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INSIGHT

Regulatory Headwinds For Mega Streaming Deal

  • The Netflix-Warner Bros. Discovery deal triggers a likely antitrust fight because it could concentrate streaming market share.
  • Netflix will argue platforms like YouTube and TikTok should be counted as competitors to dilute monopoly concerns.
INSIGHT

Overlap Argument To Blunt Antitrust Scrutiny

  • Netflix plans to argue HBO Max subscribers largely overlap with Netflix, framing the combination as complementary rather than monopolistic.
  • That overlap argument aims to shrink the apparent incremental market share regulators would scrutinize.
ADVICE

Model Long Timelines For Big Mergers

  • Expect a long regulatory timeline and priced-in merger arbitrage when large media deals are announced.
  • Investors should account for an extended 18-month window when modeling returns on such transactions.
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