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AI Bubble Shows Ten Clear Warning Signs

Nov 25, 2025
Explore the ten key signals suggesting the AI boom may be inflating into a bubble. Discussions include NVIDIA's record earnings amid market tension and the illusory demand created by circular investments. Experts highlight concerns over profitability, extreme capital intensity, and the risks posed by overinvestment. The podcast also delves into the potential transformative nature of AI, comparing it to past industrial revolutions, and the critical indicators to watch as the landscape evolves.
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INSIGHT

Largest Tech Capital Surge

  • The AI boom is the largest concentrated tech capital surge ever and opinions sharply disagree on its nature.
  • Tension between believers and skeptics is the defining feature of this moment.
ANECDOTE

The Anthropic-Microsoft-NVIDIA Loop

  • Anthropic signed a $30 billion compute deal with Microsoft and then received investments from Microsoft and NVIDIA.
  • The money circulates as companies buy each other's services and hardware, creating internal demand that may not reflect real external customers.
INSIGHT

AI Is Becoming An Energy Story

  • Commitments like one gigawatt of compute turn AI into an energy and infrastructure problem, not just software.
  • Electricity may become the primary bottleneck, shifting constraints from silicon to power grids.
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