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Big Take

Libya’s $5 Billion Fuel-Smuggling Trade Has a Russia Problem

Feb 6, 2024
13:12
Snipd AI
A tanker smuggling $2 million worth of marine gas oil from Libya was stopped in Albanian waters, exposing a $5 billion fuel-smuggling problem. The fuel, originating from Russia, evades European sanctions. The podcast investigates Libya's oil reserves, fuel subsidies, and fuel smuggling, as well as the impact of Russia's oil market shift and the challenges of resolving the subsidy program.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Up to 40% of fuel imported to Libya under a subsidy program in 2022 is being smuggled out, amounting to $5 billion in fuel smuggling.
  • Russian fuel exports to Libya have surged over 10-fold, making Russia the top exporter of refined petroleum products to the country, which then makes its way into European countries that have imposed sanctions on Russian fuel.

Deep dives

Fuel smuggling and the $5 billion trade

Fuel smuggling in Libya has become a widespread problem, exacerbated by a crude-for-fuel swap program introduced in 2021. An investigation into the smuggling of refined fuel reveals that up to 40% of fuel in the subsidy program is being smuggled, amounting to $5 billion in 2022. The program, although legal, evades scrutiny from the central bank and other government institutions. This trade in smuggled fuel, much of it sourced from Russia, poses challenges for Libya's economy and raises questions about where the fuel is going.

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