Hub Podcasts How long will the Israel-Iran war last?
Jun 16, 2025
Janice Gross Stein, founding director of the Munk School of Global Affairs, offers her expert analysis on the escalating Israel-Iran conflict. She discusses Israel's growing military dominance, the strategic dilemmas facing Iran amid military setbacks, and potential shifts in U.S. support under the Trump administration. Stein also examines the unexpected resilience of stock markets during geopolitical tensions and the roles of regional powers like Turkey, Russia, and China in navigating this complex crisis.
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Israel Broadens Target Scope
- Israel is expanding its targets to include Iranian energy sources, signaling a broader conflict beyond military and nuclear targets.
- This shift threatens Iran's military and economic stability, especially its energy and electricity infrastructure.
Iran's Strategic Position and Red Lines
- Iran has lost 30% of its missile launchers but retains its missile stockpiles, keeping its offensive options alive.
- The conflict now centers on Iran's red line in negotiations: maintaining uranium enrichment capabilities.
Trump Supports a Winning Israel
- The initial war phase favors Israel, advancing faster than expected, influencing U.S. President Trump's supportive stance.
- Trump is likely to back Israel with supplies if he perceives Israel as winning, avoiding pressure to stop the conflict.