The Duran Podcast One step closer to Minsk 3 or Istanbul Plus (Live)
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Aug 19, 2025 Discussions center around a pivotal meeting at the White House with European leaders and Zelensky, analyzing potential peace agreements and geopolitical tensions. Trump's role in U.S.-Russia diplomacy is scrutinized, revealing complexities in negotiations and security guarantees for Ukraine. Insights into the limited support from BRICS nations and the internal challenges facing Russia enrich the conversation. The podcast examines the dynamics of peace and war, emphasizing the intricate interplay of military support and the geopolitical landscape.
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Alaska Agreement Prioritizes Full Negotiation
- The Alaska meeting's core understanding was to pursue full negotiated peace, not a ceasefire that would freeze the conflict.
- Russia strongly opposes a ceasefire because it fears a frozen conflict akin to Minsk III and prefers direct talks to resolve core issues.
Russia Prefers Istanbul Format Over Trilateral Summit
- Trump sought a trilateral summit but Russia declined to commit, preferring the Istanbul negotiation format.
- Moscow frames progress as upgrading delegation ranks in Istanbul rather than an immediate Putin–Zelensky summit.
Make Security Guarantees Clear And Realistic
- Avoid promising U.S. Article 5-style guarantees while negotiations continue because Russia vetoes NATO forces in Ukraine.
- Coordinate with Europeans but state clearly who will provide guarantees to prevent mixed messaging and escalation.