Expect A Market Correction By September | Brent Johnson

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Aug 14, 2025

Brent Johnson, CEO & Portfolio Manager at Santiago Capital and creator of the Dollar Milkshake Theory, shares his insights on the current market landscape. He discusses the recent weakening of the U.S. dollar and suggests it may be oversold, anticipating a potential rally. Brent also predicts a market correction by September, spurred by overly optimistic sentiments and geopolitical factors. He emphasizes the interplay between finance and political dynamics, urging investors to remain vigilant and strategic in managing their portfolios amid this volatility.

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INSIGHT

Expect A September Correction

Brent expects a meaningful market correction by the end of September driven by stretched positioning and low fear.
He warns unexpected dollar rallies and rising credit contraction typically cause significant market volatility.

INSIGHT

Dollar Could Rally Unexpectedly

Brent views the dollar as oversold and ripe for an unexpected rally that could shock global markets.
He highlights that a rising dollar plus credit contraction, not a falling dollar, is the real market risk.

INSIGHT

Market Breadth Is Alarmingly Narrow

Market concentration in the top 5–10 names and passive flows inflate winners and suppress broad participation.
Brent notes past extremes preceded high volatility within weeks, signaling vulnerability today.

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The dollar has weakened considerably so far this year.Amidst the new US Adminstration's hardball trade tactics, critics claim that foreigners are ramping up their de-dollarization efforts, buying less US debt, and that the days of the dollar as the dominant world reserve currency are ending.How much truth, if any, underlies this?For answers, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Brent Johnson, CEO & Portfolio Manager at Santiago Capital, developer of the Dollar Milkshake Theory.Brent thinks the dollar has become quite oversold, so don't be surprised to see it rally.Also, he thinks it's more likely than not that a stock market correction will happen by September.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#dollar #marketcorrection #geopolitics _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.