Daniel Lacalle: Raising Taxes Won't Fix the'Debt Bomb' and Why Currency Debasement is "Intentional"
Oct 29, 2024
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Daniel Lacalle, a Spanish economist and author, delves into the implications of recent Fed rate cuts on the economy. He argues that currency devaluation is intentionally orchestrated and that merely raising taxes won't alleviate national debt. Lacalle critiques how government dependency undermines the middle class while benefiting elites. He paints a grim picture of unfunded liabilities, linking them to currency debasement. Additionally, he highlights Bitcoin's emergence as a promising asset against inflation, alongside traditional forms like gold.
Daniel Lacalle argues that raising taxes does not effectively reduce national debt and can instead perpetuate fiscal issues.
The discussion highlights the intentional nature of currency debasement and its impact on inflation, purchasing power, and economic productivity.
Deep dives
Impact of Federal Reserve Rate Cuts
The podcast discusses the recent Federal Reserve rate cut, emphasizing that this move was unexpected given the strong labor market and all-time high stock prices. The Chief Economist points out that the rate cut, which equated to a government bailout, was influenced by rising treasury yields and a panic reaction from the Fed, particularly evident in their decision to delay normalization of the balance sheet. The discussion highlights that cutting rates despite persistent inflation signals an attempt to alleviate pressure on government debt amidst declining demand for treasuries. This action raises concerns about the underlying issues of soaring government debt and continued deficit spending, suggesting that low rates are merely a means to conceal the government's insolvency problems.
The Fallacy of High Taxes as a Debt Solution
The conversation addresses the misconception that raising taxes, particularly on the wealthy, can effectively reduce national debt. It is argued that high taxation often facilitates the maintenance of high levels of debt rather than diminishing it, as evidenced by countries like France and Japan, which impose heavy taxes but still carry significant debt burdens. The economist explains that raising taxes typically fails to cover the anticipated revenue, leading to ongoing deficit issues. Moreover, politicians use tax increases as reassurances to investors about debt sustainability while citizens eventually discover that broader tax policies affect them adversely, contributing to a worsening fiscal landscape.
Unfunded Liabilities and Future Currency Debasement
The discussion highlights the alarming scale of unfunded liabilities, projected to surpass $200 trillion, exacerbating the already high debt of $37 trillion. It is noted that these unfunded commitments are crucial for understanding future currency debasement, which may entail increased inflation or taxes. The economist explains that for every new dollar of debt, the economy generates considerably less GDP growth, indicating a decline in the efficiency of government spending. This raises concerns about long-term economic productivity and suggests that the promise of government spending may instead lead to eroded currency value and diminished purchasing power for citizens.
The Consequences of Government Job Expansion
The podcast examines the implications of increasing government jobs at the cost of private sector employment, cautioning that this trend can lead to decreased productivity and unsustainable salary standards. An influx of public sector jobs is viewed negatively, as it may encourage individuals to prefer government employment over private sector roles due to perceived job security and better pay. The economist highlights that bloating job figures with government positions undermines resources and ultimately harms necessary public services. This situation not only impacts government budgets but also reflects a shift in workforce dynamics that can inhibit economic growth.
In this episode with Economist, Author & Professor Daniel Lacalle we discuss:
Fed rate cuts and its impact on markets
Why Lacalle says currency devaluation is 100% "intentional"
Governments increasing taxes won't make a dent in debt
Impoverishing workers and wage earners to benefit the elite
Lacalle's take on Bitcoin and gold
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Bio: Daniel Lacalle is a Spanish economist, investment manager and professor of global economics. He is the author of several economics books, including "Life In The Financial Markets," "The Energy World Is Flat," "Escape From the Central Bank Trap," and "Freedom or Equality." Follow Daniel on X https://x.com/dlacalle_IA
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