The podcast discusses the rising popularity of the Reform party, with insights on key figures like Nigel Farage and Rishi Sunak. They explore MPs' concerns, Reform's surge, and Rishi Sunak's recent address, highlighting missed opportunities and potential shifts in the Conservative Party.
Concerns rise within Tories as Reform Party trails just four points behind at 15%, suggesting potential major impact on election dynamics.
Shift in public perception of Rishi Sunak to 'weak' reflects negatively on Conservatives' standing compared to Reform Party's strategic long-term approach.
Deep dives
Reform Party's Rise in Polls Concerns Conservatives
The latest poll showing the Reform Party just four points behind the Tories, with the Conservatives at 19% and Reform at 15%, has increased fears among Tory members. The impact of Leander Sin's defection to the Reform Party adds to this concern. The possibility of pushing the election to the autumn raises questions about the Reform Party's growing presence. Reform's strategy focuses on long-term success rather than temporary poll results.
Public Perception of Rishi Sunak's Leadership and Reform's Growth
Public perception of Rishi Sunak has shifted from 'rich' to 'weak,' impacting the Conservatives' standing. Reform's rise connects to dissatisfaction with immigration policies and a perception of the PM's weakness. The potential return of Nigel Farage could significantly boost Reform's position, surpassing the Tories in popularity.
Challenges for the Government and Potential Strategies
The government's failure to pass the border bill in the Lords poses a challenge. Voter frustration with Conservatives stems from unfulfilled promises on immigration control. Rishi Sunak's public image has wavered due to missteps on key issues and a perceived lack of strength. A stronger stance on immigration control and decisive leadership could have altered the current electoral landscape.
A new YouGov poll has Reform just four points behind the Conservatives. Richard Tice’s party is on 15 per cent, and Rishi Sunak’s party is on 19 per cent. What is driving the Tory decline?
Max Jeffery speaks to Katy Balls and to James Johnson of JL Partners.
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