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Macro Money - November 10, 2025 - Stocks Surge on US Government Shutdown Deal: Is This Real?

Nov 10, 2025
Stocks bounced back dramatically after a Senate deal ended the government shutdown. The unexpected market rally raises questions about lasting effects on sentiments. With consumer confidence sinking and inflation concerns looming, the show dives deep into how Fed messaging shapes market reactions. Discussion includes surprising price shifts in commodities like gold and oil, as well as insights on the disconnect between market expectations and Fed policies. The impact of strong earnings amid weak market responses adds another intriguing layer to the conversation.
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INSIGHT

Shutdown Deal Sparks Rally, Not Certainty

  • Markets jumped on Senate shutdown deal but it's unclear if sentiment truly changed.
  • The rally may be just a short-term rebound rather than a durable shift.
INSIGHT

Risk Assets Amplify Fed-Driven Weakness

  • Stocks and bitcoin amplified last week's risk-off move while rates stayed relatively calm.
  • Fed messaging, not earnings, drove the recent market weakness.
INSIGHT

Earnings Beat But Sentiment Still Fragile

  • Strong tech earnings failed to prevent a selloff because the Fed dampened hopes for a December cut.
  • Price reaction to earnings was far worse than historical norms, showing sentiment fragility.
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