Earnings Outlook, Government Shutdown Potential Impacts
Sep 27, 2023
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Peter Atwater discusses earnings outlook and potential impact of a government shutdown. Steve Case talks about building the new American dream in surprising places. Paul Hsu explores mainstream adoption of web3. Stephanie Pierce discusses investment trends and the importance of cash.
Cash is a good place to be in the current higher rate environment, according to Stephanie Pierce, CEO of Drifus Mellon and exchange traded funds at BNY Mellon Investment Management.
Investors are growing more comfortable with the possibility of a soft landing for the economy, leading to a re-assessment of risk and extension of portfolios, mentions Stephanie Pierce.
Deep dives
Cash is Attractive in a Higher Rate Environment
Stephanie Pierce, CEO of Drifus Mellon and exchange traded funds at BNY Mellon Investment Management, suggests that cash is a good place to be in the current higher rate environment. She advises clients to stay with a strategic allocation that includes cash, stating that timing the market is challenging. Pierce also introduces the new "Spark" share class, which allows clients to contribute a portion of the revenues to the charity of their choice.
Investors Reassessing Risk in a Soft Landing Scenario
Pierce notes that investors are growing more comfortable with the possibility of a soft landing for the economy, and as a result, they are re-assessing risk and extending their portfolios. She highlights the improved rhetoric from the Federal Reserve and the market's response to data as contributors to this shift in sentiment.
Expectations for the Rest of the Year
Looking ahead, Pierce anticipates another rate hike, although she believes it will be more moderate than initially expected. She also predicts that markets will position themselves for lower rates in the middle of next year, but emphasizes that the path downward will be gradual. Overall, she aligns with the view of a soft landing and higher for longer environment.
BNY Mellon's Positioning and Outlook
Pierce confirms that BNY Mellon is positioning its portfolios to hedge against lower rates in the future. She expresses confidence in the current rhetoric and expectations, but also acknowledges the challenging nature of market timing and advises clients to stick to a strategic allocation.
Peter Atwater, President of Financial Insyghts, discusses the outlook for earnings and the impact of a possible government shutdown on the business sector. Erik Wasson joins to discuss the latest on a potential shutdown. Steve Case, Chairman and CEO at Revolution, discusses his book Rise of the Rest: How Entrepreneurs in Surprising Places are Building the New American Dream. Paul Hsu, CEO at Decasonic, talks about the mainstream adoption of web3. And we Drive to the Close with Stephanie Pierce, CEO of Dreyfus, Mellon and ETFs at BNY Mellon.
Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec Producer: Paul Brennan