The Iran Podcast A Fork in the Road
12 snips
May 15, 2025 
Danny Citrinowicz, a research fellow focused on Iran’s national security, and Greg Brew, a historian-turned-analyst on Iran's energy policies, discuss critical U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations and their intricacies. They highlight Iran's advancements in uranium enrichment and explore Israel's military preferences versus diplomatic measures. The conversation also dives into Gulf states' evolving diplomatic stances towards Iran, and how global players like China and Russia influence these discussions, making for a complex tapestry of regional and international relations.
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Iran's Nuclear Progress and Risks
- Iran rapidly increased uranium enrichment from 3.67% to 60% since the 2018 U.S. JCPOA withdrawal.
- Tehran is close to producing weapons-grade uranium but avoids 90% to prevent triggering military strikes.
U.S. Divisions Shape Iran Deal
- U.S. administration debates revolved around favoring diplomacy versus military action.
- Current talks are split between dismantling Iran's program entirely or allowing a limited civilian nuclear activity.
Iran's Internal Position and Deal Prospects
- Iran is unified internally in wanting diplomacy but holds firm red lines on enrichment and stockpile levels.
- Tehran sees a deal from a Republican president as more sustainable inside the U.S.