The Foreign Desk Explainer 491: Trump’s third term?
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Oct 29, 2025 Could Trump really pursue a third term? The discussion kicks off with his media blitz for a 2028 run, but legally, he faces hurdles due to the 22nd Amendment. There’s speculation on the possibility of repeal and unconventional strategies like running as Vice President or through a family proxy. The idea of him becoming Speaker of the House for a power grab is explored, alongside the implications of simply defying ballot rules. Buckle up as they navigate these unprecedented political scenarios!
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Unusually Early 2028 Push
- Andrew Muller notes Trump began pitching for 2028 almost immediately after his 2024 inauguration, speeding up re-election messaging within months.
- This early campaigning is unusually aggressive even by US political norms and signals a break from convention.
22nd Amendment Is The Main Barrier
- The 22nd Amendment clearly bars a president from being elected more than twice, making a legal third-term run impossible in ordinary circumstances.
- Muller emphasizes the amendment is the principal legal obstacle to Trump seeking a third elected term.
Repeal Requires Broad Congressional And State Support
- To repeal the 22nd Amendment requires two-thirds majorities in both houses of Congress and ratification by three-quarters of state legislatures.
- Muller stresses this route is politically improbable given current party control and state breakdowns.