Inside Politics with Hugh Linehan EXIT POLL: what do the results mean for government formation?
Nov 29, 2024
Pat Leahy, an esteemed journalist with the Irish Times, breaks down the 2024 general election exit poll results. He discusses Sinn Féin's narrow lead over traditional rivals Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, revealing the complexities of coalition-building facing the leading parties. Leahy highlights Sinn Féin's strong performance yet unclear path to governance, alongside the dismal showing of Independent Ireland. The conversation dives into the shifting dynamics of Irish politics and the implications for future alliances among parties.
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Likely Coalition Government
- The exit poll suggests a tight race between Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael, and Sinn Féin.
- A coalition government, likely involving Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, is anticipated.
Sinn Féin's Position
- Sinn Féin is projected to win the popular vote but faces challenges forming a government.
- Their support has rebounded, but not to the levels seen a year ago.
Smaller Parties' Performance
- The Green Party's 4% result raises concerns about seat retention.
- Labour and the Social Democrats are closely positioned, with the Social Democrats potentially gaining an edge.