Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar Counter Points #9: Midterm Polls, Housing Crisis, Semiconductor Crunch, CIA Spy Ops, Ukraine Diplomacy, Obesity Epidemic & MORE!
Oct 28, 2022
Discover the surprising shifts in midterm polls as Democrats gain momentum amidst economic debates. Dive into the complexities of the housing market and the semiconductor industry's supply chain struggles shaped by geopolitical tensions. Explore the ongoing FBI investigation into World Cup corruption and the implications of U.S. foreign policy in Qatar and beyond. Additionally, tackle the obesity epidemic and its social perceptions, alongside a critical examination of COVID-19 origins and the need for accountability in public health research.
AI Snips
Chapters
Books
Transcript
Episode notes
Generic Ballot Polling
- National generic congressional polls are historically reliable.
- State-level polls are less reliable due to turnout prediction challenges and other factors.
2020 Wisconsin Polling Error
- A Washington Post poll in 2020 significantly overestimated Biden's win margin in Wisconsin. Such errors in state-level polls can be substantial.
Non-voter Polling Drop-off
- Non-voters are the largest group that drops out of longitudinal polling studies. This poses a challenge for accurately representing public opinion.
