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Value Hive Podcast

Daren Heitman (Azarias Capital): Uranium Bull Thesis 101

Sep 15, 2023
01:05:45
Snipd AI
Investment expert Daren Heitman joins the podcast to discuss the broad uranium bull thesis. Topics include supply and demand side economics, structuring a bullish uranium trade, modeling supply and demand, getting to the core of the uranium thesis, and the importance of the Fuel Cycle.
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Quick takeaways

  • The demand for uranium is relatively predictable, with existing reactors and new construction accounting for the majority of demand, while the potential for small modular reactors offers future growth opportunities.
  • The supply side of uranium is complex, with various factors influencing production levels, but there is a significant supply-demand gap in the market, making the outlook for supply bullish despite potential risks.

Deep dives

Demand for uranium is price-sensitive but not price-elastic

While some argue that utilities will pay whatever price is necessary for uranium due to its importance in powering nuclear reactors, the reality is that utility companies do consider the cost and have target inventory levels. The long-term demand for uranium is relatively predictable, with existing reactors, restarts, and new reactor construction accounting for the majority of demand. There is not much variance in demand projections, and the upside potential lies in the development and adoption of small modular reactors in the future.

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