Politics Now Why timing is everything in politics
9 snips
Jan 30, 2026 A tense leadership meeting in Melbourne and the awkward optics of a male-dominated leadership push. Why timing and internal arithmetic drive moves for power within the Coalition. How a split between Liberals and Nationals would affect nominations, fundraising and campaign logistics. The appeal and staying power of Pauline Hanson and what that means for broader right‑wing politics.
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Timing Shapes Leadership Chances
- Timing can determine whether a leadership bid succeeds or is politically viable after a heavy electoral loss.
- Andrew Hastie judged 2025 was the wrong moment, but now sees a new opening and renewed appetite for change.
Optics Matter For The Liberal Party
- The optics of a male‑dominated meeting to roll Australia's first female Liberal leader damaged perception among women.
- Jane Hume and other moderates publicly criticised the timing and visuals of the Melbourne meeting.
Faction Splits Shift The Arithmetic
- A right‑wing split between Hastie and Angus Taylor boosts moderates because divided factions struggle to dethrone a leader.
- Factional arithmetic and phone‑banking will decide any spill more than public posturing.