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Episode 123: Sharky Waters Nation Joins for a Discussion
Oct 12, 2023
Former poker player turned sports bettor and content creator, Sharky Waters Nation, joins Rob Pizzola and Johnny to discuss his transition to sports betting, attacking the marketplace from a new angle, and the world of content creation. Topics include the shift from poker to betting, analyzing data and sample sizes, market resistance, chance vs skill, and the reasons for creating content. They also touch on pick tracking, plus EV vs negative EV, and advice for a younger self.
01:19:22
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Quick takeaways
- Deep situational analysis is crucial in NFL betting, focusing on specific spots and circumstances rather than statistical trends.
- The speaker's approach to betting prioritizes deep analysis of schedules, box scores, and specific patterns, emphasizing the psychological and strategic aspects of the game.
Deep dives
Situational analysis in NFL betting
When it comes to NFL betting, the speaker emphasizes the importance of situational analysis. They argue that in the NFL, it's crucial to consider the specific spots and circumstances of each game, rather than solely relying on statistical trends or numerical models. The speaker believes that deep situational analysis is particularly effective in the NFL due to factors such as team dynamics, coaching strategies, and the high level of consistency from top players and coaches. They also emphasize the importance of analyzing the opening lines rather than the closing lines to avoid market contamination and gain insights into the sportsbook's perspective on the game.
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Discover
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