Autonocast #323: The Annual Prediction Episode 2024
Jan 2, 2025
The hosts dive into the fascinating world of autonomous driving, sharing humorous insights about trial lawyers' roles. They recount a thrilling cross-country Tesla road trip and dissect the tech's quirks. Predictions for 2025 include an unsupervised self-driving system and the challenges faced by companies like Waymo and Cruise. The conversation touches on evolving political dynamics and the rise of hybrids in the auto industry, all while maintaining a lighthearted tone as they gear up for the upcoming CES party.
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Transcript
Episode notes
Tesla FSD Cross-Country Drive
- Alex Roy completed a cross-country drive in a Tesla using FSD Beta.
- This was done to establish a benchmark for Tesla's FSD capabilities.
Safety and Speed of Level 2 Systems
- Data shows no current provable safety benefit to any Level 2 system.
- Alex Roy's drive demonstrated that these systems are slower than human drivers, albeit with less speeding.
Disengagement Data
- During the drive, the Tesla FSD Beta had 32 disengagements, 11 of which were non-charging related.
- Seven disengagements were safety-related, mostly due to truck lane incursions; two were for navigation errors.