The Latest Swing State Poll & Markets Price in Trump-Harris
Oct 24, 2024
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Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist at iCapital, shares insights on the growing demand for private equity and credit, exploring their potential to stabilize investment portfolios. David Gura discusses the latest polling trends for the competitive 2024 election, emphasizing swing states like Georgia and Pennsylvania. Dan Ives analyzes Tesla’s strong performance and Apple’s market strategy, particularly in China. Nadia Calvino discusses the European Investment Bank's efforts in supporting Ukraine and promoting sustainable investments amid global economic challenges.
The increasing demand for private investments, especially in private equity and credit, is driven by their resilience during market downturns and better risk-adjusted returns.
Concerns regarding liquidity and transparency in private investments highlight the need for informed decision-making amidst shifting expectations for lower returns from public equities.
Deep dives
Rising Demand for Private Investments
There has been a significant increase in demand for private investments, particularly in private equity and private credit markets. This trend has been observed over the past decade, but it has noticeably accelerated in the last few years. Investors have become attracted to alternative investments due to their resilience during market downturns, especially highlighted by the performance of private strategies in 2022 when traditional 60-40 portfolios suffered losses. As investors seek diversification and higher returns, the allocation towards private credit and equity is growing, with private equity now accounting for nearly half of the flows observed on investment platforms.
Investors' Perception of Risk
The perceived risks associated with rising allocations to alternatives, such as lower liquidity, have raised concerns among investors. However, the distinction between different types of risks is essential; the volatility of public markets can sometimes pose more significant day-to-day risks compared to the relative stability of private investments. Private assets are typically held long-term and valued quarterly, offering potentially better risk-adjusted returns. This perspective suggests that a moderate allocation of around 20% to alternatives may provide individuals with better income opportunities and diversification without exposing them to excessive risk.
Transparency in Private Markets
While the term 'private' often conjures perceptions of opacity, the reality is that private investments maintain a degree of transparency through regular audits and valuations. In the case of private credit, despite not being marked to market daily, these assets are still subjected to quarterly evaluations. The performance of private market strategies has historically outpaced traditional portfolios, making them an attractive option for investors seeking enhanced returns. Addressing the misconceptions about private investments, companies are working to improve transparency to help investors make informed decisions.
Impact of Economic Conditions on Returns
Economic dynamics, such as decreasing expected returns on public equities, signal a significant shift towards alternative investment strategies. Analysis indicates that investors anticipate lower returns from public markets in the coming decade, prompting a search for higher returns in private equity and credit. Institutions and high-net-worth individuals appear more willing to allocate a larger share of their portfolios to these alternative investments. Stakeholders emphasize that despite potential liquidity challenges, the long-term growth prospects linked to these asset classes demonstrate their evolving role in modern investment portfolios.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney October 24th, 2024
Featuring:
Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist at iCapital, shares her thoughts on private markets and what's playing out currently in the equity and bond markets
David Gura, host of Bloomberg "Big Take" podcast, on the new Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll and the 2024 election
Dan Ives, Senior Equity Analyst at Wedbush Securities, on Tesla's blowout quarter
Nadia Calvino, president of EIB, on the IMF meetings in DC this week, how Europe is supporting Ukraine, and the EIB's goals