The Complexity of Proxy Conflict

Proxy conflict involves indirect military intervention where a state supports an armed non-state actor, usually a rebel group. It is a strategic option used by countries to achieve their objectives through proxies. The relationship between the principal and the intermediary is not static, and interests can diverge over time. Strategic alignment and the management of intermediate relationships are crucial to achieving success. The role of intermediaries can vary, from serving as an honest broker to a self-interested dealer. Time also plays a significant role, with long-term conflicts requiring consistency and patience. Proxy conflicts can take different forms based on the strategic context, such as counter-terrorism or great power competition. The agency of both intermediaries and agents must be considered, as they have their own interests and can influence the dynamics of the conflict.