48. Who Killed Liz Truss? Britain on the Brink (Part 2)
Apr 14, 2024
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The podcast delves into the Bank of England's response to a financial crisis, tensions between economic establishment and government, characterization of Andrew Bailey, controversial tax cuts, and a mystery in the racing world involving a missing racehorse and tragic death.
33:07
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Quick takeaways
Bank of England implemented a massive bond buying program to stabilize the Guilt market.
Political tensions escalated as government officials faced challenges in meeting economic demands.
Deep dives
The Government Bond Market Crisis
The podcast discusses the worst crisis in the government bond market, originating from unaffordable tax cuts proposed in the mini budget, leading to a dramatic increase in government borrowing costs. The crisis was exacerbated by investment funds linked to pensions, causing a ripple effect in the market relationship between Guiltz and LDIs. The Bank of England's delayed investigation into the impact of LDIs revealed a lack of stress testing on this market segment, sparking a race against time to stabilize the collapsing Guilt market.
Bank of England's Intervention
The Bank of England's decision to launch a massive bond buying program aimed to stabilize the Guilt market by purchasing government bonds daily, escalating to £65 billion total. However, the program faced challenges due to the exclusion of index-linked Guiltz. An internal deadline was set to pressure pension funds and LDIs to resolve their issues, highlighting the high-stakes political and economic implications of the central bank's actions.
Political Fallout and Chancellor Replacement
The rescue efforts undertaken by the Bank of England led to a significant rift between the economic establishment and the government due to differing approaches to financial stability. The pressure on the Chancellor to meet economic challenges resulted in a series of political missteps, including the reversal of tax cuts and escalating tensions at the Tory party conference. The IMF's critical stance further exacerbated the government's financial predicament.
Quest for Stability and Continued Turmoil
The narrative delves into the evolving dynamics surrounding decisions on fiscal responsibility, as the Bank of England's bond buying program aims to stabilize the market amidst rising economic uncertainties. Political tensions intensify as the Prime Minister faces crucial decisions on economic policy, leading to the dramatic downfall of key government officials and escalating concerns about financial stability and public trust.