Israeli troops massing for a potential Gaza invasion
Oct 11, 2023
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Annie Karni, Dennis Ross, and John Brennan join Ari Melber to discuss the ongoing conflict in Gaza, the history of peace negotiations between Israel and Palestine, factors contributing to the conflict, chaos in selecting a Speaker of the House, and witnessing terrorist attacks and standoffs with security forces.
Israeli airstrikes and Hamas attacks intensify in the Israel-Gaza conflict, worsening the humanitarian situation in Gaza.
Intelligence and policy failures contributed to the escalation of violence in the Israel-Hamas conflict.
Deep dives
Israel-Gaza conflict escalates with increasing death toll
The ongoing Israel-Gaza conflict is escalating with a rising death toll on both sides. Israel is intensifying its airstrikes, hitting over 400 targets in a single day, while Hamas continues its attacks as well. The humanitarian situation in Gaza is worsening, with power and supply shortages putting immense strain on the densely populated area. There are concerns that this conflict could spread further, with Israeli troops trading fire with forces in Lebanon and rocket launches potentially originating from Syria. The United States is providing military assistance to Israel and warning Iran to be careful. The role of Iran in these attacks is still being investigated, as Hamas's terrorism and war-making capabilities have been bolstered by Iranian support.
Intelligence and policy failures contributed to the outbreak of the conflict
The current conflict between Israel and Hamas is a result of both intelligence and policy failures. Hamas engaged in sophisticated planning and a deception campaign to carry out its attacks, which were misinterpreted by Israeli analysts. The Israeli defensive and security measures outside of Gaza were poorly manned and unprepared for the extent of the attack. While there were reports of some warning from Egypt, it is unclear if this information reached the policymakers. A breakdown in intelligence collection and a policy failure to adequately address the ongoing threat of Hamas has contributed to the escalation of violence.
The impact on the peace process and the importance of a comprehensive strategy
The escalating conflict between Israel and Hamas has significant implications for the peace process. If Hamas is perceived as successful, it could strengthen the rejectionist ideology and hinder future breakthroughs. The prospect of a potential US-Saudi-Israel deal, which would reduce the religious element of the conflict, is a major concern for Hamas. A successful resolution of the conflict is crucial to maintain momentum for regional peace. A proportional response is challenging considering the horrific acts of terrorism committed by Hamas. Discrediting Hamas and ensuring its defeat is important for stabilizing the region and opening possibilities for future negotiations.
Uncertainty in the House of Representatives regarding the selection of a new speaker
The House Republicans are facing uncertainty in selecting a new speaker to replace Kevin McCarthy. Congressman Steve Scalise won a private caucus vote but still does not have enough votes to secure the position. Around 20 members are either supporting Jim Jordan or remaining undecided. This situation reflects the ongoing divisions within the Republican Party, making the process of selecting a speaker unpredictable. The delayed floor vote to ensure Scalise's victory demonstrates the Republican Party's struggle to find a unified leadership and govern effectively.
MSNBC's Ari Melber hosts "The Beat" on Wednesday, October 11, and reports on the Israel-Hamas war and House GOP chaos. Annie Karni, Dennis Ross and John Brennan join.
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