What do by-elections tell you about the state of politics?
Oct 18, 2023
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Sky's chief political correspondent, Jon Craig, discusses the significance of by-elections and potential general election outcomes. Highlights include upcoming by-elections in Tamworth and Mid-Bedfordshire, the Labour Party's defeat in the Uxbridge by-election, and personal anecdotes covering various UK by-elections.
By-elections serve as turning points in politics and provide a snapshot of a moment in time, offering insights into potential general election outcomes.
The Liberal Democrats have a strong track record in by-elections, demonstrating their ability to capture attention and win over voters in specific constituencies.
Deep dives
The Excitement of By-Elections
By-elections are exciting and unpredictable, drawing attention to constituencies that rarely make the news agenda. They provide a snapshot of a moment in time and can sometimes be turning points in politics. The upcoming by-elections in Tamworth and Mid-Bedfordshire are being closely watched. In Tamworth, the Conservatives may struggle to hold onto the seat due to their disgraced candidate, while in Mid-Bedfordshire, it is a three-horse race, with the Tories potentially coming through the middle. The results of these by-elections will have implications for the parties involved and may foreshadow future electoral trends.
Liberal Democrats' Success in By-Elections
The Liberal Democrats have a strong track record in by-elections, often coming out of nowhere to win seats. They are known for their tenacious campaigning and put in considerable effort into each by-election. For example, in the Brentford and Isleworth by-election in 2003, the Lib Dems won a seat previously held by Ken Livingstone. By-elections like these demonstrate the Lib Dems' ability to capture attention and win over voters in specific constituencies.
Memorable Moments and Quirky Incidents
By-elections can produce memorable moments and quirky incidents. In Bradford West in 2012, George Galloway won a spectacular victory, shocking the political establishment. Other notable incidents include a young man baring his buttocks during a live broadcast and the tragedy of MPs like James Brokenshire and David Amos losing their lives, leading to emotional by-elections. These incidents and moments not only shape the outcome of the by-elections but also leave a lasting impact on the political landscape and the memories of those involved.
There has been a wave of by-elections in recent months across the country - and Sky’s chief political correspondent Jon Craig has been to most of them.
In fact this Thursday sees Jon covering his 40th count for Sky News. He’s in Nadine Dorries' old seat of Mid Bedfordshire which could see the vote split 3 ways between the Conservatives, Labour and the Lib Dems.
On the same day, another seat held by the Conservatives – Tamworth – is up for grabs following Chris Pincher’s resignation over groping allegations.
But what if anything do by-elections results tell us about potential general election outcomes? On a bonus episode of the Sky News Daily, host Niall Paterson talks to Jon Craig about that, and his highlights of covering by-elections for so many years.
Podcast producer: Alex Edden Senior podcast producer: Annie Joyce Editor: Paul Stanworth
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