Geoffrey Supran, lead author of a peer-reviewed study on climate change, discusses Exxon's knowledge and role in climate denial. They explore the accuracy of Exxon's modeling and predictions, the decline in research funding for climate science, and the formation and effectiveness of influence campaigns on public opinion.
ExxonMobil had extensive knowledge of climate change despite publicly expressing uncertainty, as revealed by a new peer-reviewed study in the journal Science.
The oil industry, led by ExxonMobil, orchestrated comprehensive social influence campaigns to undermine climate change regulation and successfully shifted public perception of the seriousness of climate change through strategic messaging.
Deep dives
ExxonMobil's Knowledge of Climate Change Contradicts Public Statements
A new peer-reviewed study in the journal Science reveals that ExxonMobil had extensive knowledge of climate change despite publicly expressing uncertainty. Lead author Jeffrey Supran discusses the study, which provides statistical evidence of ExxonMobil's awareness of the issue. The study quantifies the alignment between ExxonMobil's internal projections and subsequent climate outcomes, highlighting the difference between suspicion and proof. This evidence is significant for the legal, political, and social implications of what the oil industry knew and when it knew it.
ExxonMobil's Shift from Innovation to Climate Change Denial
In the early 1980s, ExxonMobil transitioned from a company promoting innovation and climate research to one skeptical of climate change. As the price of oil dropped, the company's focus shifted to preserving traditional business lines and earnings. Research funding was cut, alternative energy programs were dismantled, and scientists were laid off. This transition hindered ExxonMobil's influence on climate change regulation, prompting an aggressive information war on climate science through funding contrarian research and deploying strategic influence campaigns to shape public opinion and policy discussions.
The Far-Reaching Impact of Corporate Influence Campaigns
The oil industry, led by ExxonMobil, orchestrated comprehensive social influence campaigns to undermine climate change regulation. By targeting media, schools, and society at large, these campaigns aimed to discredit climate science and promote doubt. The coalitions formed with other industries impacted by emissions regulation helped amplify the influence. With strategic messaging crafted for specific audiences, these campaigns effectively shifted the public's perception of the seriousness of climate change. The success of these influence campaigns, still active today, highlights the power, reach, and long-lasting effects of corporate efforts to shape public opinion and undermine climate action.
A new peer-reviewed study in the journal Science shows that not only did Exxon scientists suspect climate change, driven by the burning of fossil fuels, was a growing problem that would lead to crisis if nothing changed, but they were terrifyingly accurate in their modeling and predictions. Alongside this special re-broadcast of Season 1 of Drilled, all about the origins of climate denial and Exxon's role in it, we speak with the study's lead author Geoffrey Supran about its importance.