Intelligence Squared

After Putin: The Reprisal

Jun 29, 2023
Sam Greene, a Professor and expert on Russian politics and author of "Putin vs. the People," dives into the chaos following the Wagner group’s mutiny. He discusses whether Putin's grip on power is weakening and how this rebellion alters public perceptions. Greene also explores the demoralization among Russian soldiers on the Ukraine front and the alarming situation at the Zafrasia nuclear power plant. The conversation highlights the precariousness of leadership transitions and the potential consequences for Russia's future.
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INSIGHT

Putin's Betrayal

  • Putin feels betrayed by Prigozhin's actions, viewing them as a personal attack.
  • Prigozhin's wielding of power, initially beneficial to Putin, ultimately undermined him.
INSIGHT

Contingent Support

  • Public support for Putin relies on a perceived consensus, not fear of punishment.
  • The mutiny may have disrupted this consensus, allowing for different conversations and perspectives.
INSIGHT

Kremlin's Uncertainty

  • The Kremlin's continued staged events suggest lingering uncertainty about public opinion.
  • They face complex decisions regarding Prigozhin, the security state, and the opposition.
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