More Ways to Lock in Higher Yields in Case Interest Rates Fall
Jan 31, 2024
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The podcast discusses options for locking in higher yields, including the risks of buying long-term bonds, the impact of volatility drag on bond ETFs, and why interest rates won't necessarily go up when the government issues more bonds. They also explore CDs, fixed annuities, and zero-coupon bonds as alternative investment options. The episode highlights the performance of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF and discusses different investments and their limitations. Additionally, it covers zero-coupon bonds and the concept of tax equivalent yield and portfolio diversification.
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Quick takeaways
Bank certificates of deposits (CDs) and fixed annuities are two options to lock in higher yields with fixed terms and low default risks.
Zero coupon bonds provide an option to lock in higher yields without cash flow concerns, although they are more interest rate sensitive and used for speculating on interest rate changes.
Deep dives
Locking in Higher Yields: Bank Certificates of Deposits
Bank certificates of deposits (CDs) offer a way to lock in higher yields. CDs are issued by banks or credit unions and are insured by the government. They have a fixed term and offer interest, which is credited to the CD. Although there may be early withdrawal penalties, broker CDs can provide more flexibility. CDs can be taxed annually on the interest earned. For example, Schwab offers 5-year broker CDs with a 4.1% yield.
Locking in Higher Yields: Fixed Annuities
Fixed annuities, issued by insurance companies, provide another option to lock in higher yields. While not government-insured, highly rated fixed annuities have very low default risk. They have a fixed term and offer a higher yield compared to CDs. Interest received each year is not taxed until the end of the contract. However, fixed annuities come with a lengthy contract and an early withdrawal penalty if exited before maturity. Immediateannuities.com offers 5-year fixed annuities from highly rated insurers with a 5.3% yield.
Locking in Higher Yields: Zero Coupon Treasury Bonds
Zero coupon bonds, also known as treasury strips, provide an option to lock in higher yields without cash flow concerns. These bonds are not issued directly by the US government, but financial industry manufactures them by splitting the payments of traditional Treasury bonds. With no coupon payments, zero coupon bonds are purchased at a discount and appreciate to the principal value at maturity. While there are no cash flows, taxes still apply on the appreciation. Zero coupon bonds are more interest rate sensitive than regular coupon bearing bonds and are often used for speculating on interest rate changes.
Professional investors and other market participants are lousy at forecasting interest rates. Here are three more options to lock in higher yields today.
Topics covered include:
The risk of buying long-term bonds and ETFs to benefit from falling yields
How volatility drag has impacted a long-term bond ETF like TLT
Why interest rates won't go up just because the government issues more bonds
How CDs, fixed annuities, and zero-coupon bonds work
We compare and contrast the seven fixed-income options reviewed in this two-part series